- Sentencing Law and Policy (Foundation Press, forthcoming 2015)
- "Gary Becker," in Pioneers of Law and Economics, edited by Joshua Wright & Lloyd Cohen (2009)
Published and Forthcoming Papers
- The War on Drugs and Prison Growth: Limited Importance, Limited Legislative Options, forthcoming Harv J on Legis'n (2015)
- The Impact of Federal Grants on County Punitiveness, forthcoming Hastings L J (2015)
- Escaping From the Standard Story: Why the Conventional Wisdom on Prison Growth is Wrong, and Where We Can Go From Here, 26 Fed Sent Rptr 265 (2014)
- Waylaid by a Metaphor: A Deeply Problematic Account of Prison Growth (Reviewing Ernest Drucker: A Plague of Prisons), 111 U Mich L Rev 1087 (2013)
- The Micro and Macro Causes of Prison Growth, 28 Ga St U L Rev 1239 (2012)
- The Myths and Realities of Correctional Severity: Evidence from the National Corrections Reporting Program, 13 Am Law & Econ Rev 491 (2011).
- The Durability of Prison Populations, 2010 U Chi Legal Forum 73 (2010).
- The Future of Appellate Sentencing Review: Booker in the States, 93 Marquette L Rev 683 (2009).
- The Empirics of Prison Growth: A Critical Review and Path Forward, 98 J Crim L & Criminology 547 (2008).
- The Vitality of Voluntary Guidelines in the Wake of Blakely v Washington: An Empirical Assessment, 19 Fed Sent Rep 202 (2007).
- The Continued Vitality of Structured Sentencing Following Blakely: The Effectiveness of Voluntary Guidelines, 54 UCLA L Rev 235 (2006).
Working Papers and Works in Progress
- The Centrality of Prosecutors to Prison Growth: An Empirical Analysis
- Model Uncertainty and the Effect of Incarceration on Crime: A Bayesian Analysis (with Jeffrey A. Fagan and Ethan Cohen-Cole)
- A Plea for More Aggregation: The Looming Threat to Empirical Legal Scholarship
- Adversarial Law and Actuarial Science: Incorporating Systematic Sources of Knowledge Into the US Legal System
- "Reform School: Five Myths About Prison Growth Dispelled." Slate, February 19, 2009.
- "It's the Media, Not Juveniles, Who Are Delinquent: A Panic About Names." Huffington Post, February 3, 2009.